![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021.jpg\")
<\/p>\n![\"EA](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-1.jpg\" "\\"EA")
<\/article>\nAs the nearly 80 bouts played out, it quickly became apparent that EA Sports UFC 4 skews heavily in favor of third-round knockouts or technical knockouts. In fact, even with grappling specialists, I was shocked at how few submission attempts succeeded. It certainly wasn’t for lack of trying because sometimes even the most striking-focused fighters jumped guard to attempt guillotines\u00a0in these simulations. Still, very few submissions were successful, perhaps a testament to the A.I. submission defense.<\/p>\n
However, regardless of the outcome, I noticed that very few fights were completely one-sided. This is likely an indication that developer EA Canada balanced the fighters to create more competitive bouts even with each fighter featuring different attributes and tendencies. While this is a good idea in theory, when you’re simulating fights to see how the game predicts they’d play out in real life, it results in some quite surprising upsets.<\/p>\n
Without any further ado, let’s get to the results of these tournaments.<\/p>\n
Click any bracket image to see its larger version.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion:\u00a0<\/strong>Rose Namajunas The strawweight division is undoubtedly the most exciting women’s division in the UFC, with the belt changing hands rapidly following Joanna J\u0119drzejczyk’s loss to Rose Namajunas in 2017. In the time since, Namajunas, Jessica Andrade (who has since moved up in weight), and Zhang Weili have all held the belt. According to this simulation, the four former champions of the 115-pound division (Namajunas,\u00a0J\u0119drzejczyk, Weili, and inaugural champ Carla Esparza) advanced past their opening-round matchups. Weili vs.\u00a0J\u0119drzejczyk was one of the greatest fights of all time, so a rematch was exciting. Still, the best fight in this tournament came from Namajunas vs. Weili in the finals, with Namajunas securing the victory thanks to a third-round armbar submission.<\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion:\u00a0<\/strong>Valentina Shevchenko In contrast to the strawweight division, a single champion has dominated women’s flyweight pretty much since its inception. Following inaugural champion\u00a0Nicco Monta\u00f1o’s unceremonious relinquishing of the title in 2018, Valentina Shevchenko has reigned supreme, facing little hardship in her five title defenses. As such, she is one of just four fighters to achieve a five-star overall rating in EA Sports UFC 4, making her the runaway favorite to win this tournament.<\/p>\n However, the video game had other plans, as Lauren Murphy (who, interestingly enough, is scheduled to be Shevchenko’s next title defense in September) pulled off the big upset in the semifinals. Unfortunately, Murphy could not carry that momentum into the championship fight, and\u00a0longtime contender Katlyn Chookagian took her out with a fourth-round KO.<\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion:\u00a0<\/strong>Amanda Nunes As dominant as Shevchenko is in the flyweight division, Amanda Nunes has been even more ruthless. The greatest female fighter of all time has ruled the bantamweight division with an iron fist ever since taking the belt from Miesha Tate in 2016. As such, she’s another member of the elite five-star overall rating club in EA Sports UFC 4. And just like Shevchenko before her, Nunes did not come out on top in this simulation. Instead, Germaine de Randamie overcame a wild, back-and-forth fight against Holly Holm before toppling Nunes in the championship bout.\u00a0<\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion:\u00a0<\/strong>Brandon Moreno Former bantamweight champ Cody Garbrandt has had his sights set on flyweight for a while now. While his original plan of dropping down to face then-champion Deiveson Figueiredo fell through due to health complications, Garbrandt is now scheduled to face Kai Kara-France later this year. Kara-France isn’t in EA Sports UFC 4, so I plugged Garbrandt into the tournament where Kara-France would have been based on the UFC rankings \u2013 which just so happened to line him up against Figueiredo.<\/p>\n When current champ Brandon Moreno lost in shocking fashion to Tim Elliott in the first round, the stage seemed all but set for the once-dominant champion Figueiredo to reclaim his belt, but he also lost in the first round. After winning the original fight he wanted in the first round, Garbrandt went on to put on arguably the most dominant string of performances of any tournament I simulated, brutally knocking out former title challengers\u00a0Joseph Benavidez and Alex Perez to claim the championship belt.<\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion:\u00a0<\/strong>Aljamain Sterling The men’s bantamweight division is as exciting as ever but also as muddied as ever. After Petr Yan lost his belt to Aljamain Sterling earlier this year thanks to a disqualification stemming from an illegal knee, the queue of contenders has grown out of control, with the likes of TJ Dillashaw, Cory Sandhagen, and Rob Font waiting to see how the rematch between Sterling and Yan will play out. This makes the tournament format a perfect fit for the division. No matter how you match up these combatants, you’re guaranteed to get some amazing fights. Even following the UFC rankings, I still got some absolute bangers in the tournament’s first round. However,\u00a0the semifinals consisted of killers only, with Yan taking out Dillashaw, and Sandhagen avenging his 2020 loss to Sterling. At the end of the day, Yan emerged victorious in the final.<\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion:\u00a0<\/strong>Alexander Volkanovski Sometimes, EA Sports UFC 4’s predictions go how many people think they might. While several people still consider Max Holloway the best fighter at featherweight, Alexander Volkanovski once again showed why he’s the one who holds the belt at 145. Volkanovski\u00a0defeated\u00a0Holloway for what would be a third time. Featherweight is another division stacked from top to bottom, with Brian Ortega, Yair Rodr\u00edguez, Calvin Kattar, and Chan Sung Jung filling\u00a0the field. Still, as we’ve seen time and time again, Volkanovski and Holloway are just on another level.<\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion:\u00a0<\/strong>Charles Oliveira As great as men’s bantamweight and featherweight are, in all likelihood, lightweight is the best division in the UFC. The historically deep division is in transition due to the abrupt retirement of dominant, undefeated champion Khabib Nurmagomedov in 2020. Thanks to this, I was perhaps most excited to see this tournament in action. With newly crowned champion Charles Oliveira taking the top seed and killers like Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje (before you ask, the ninth-ranked Conor McGregor\u00a0barely missed the cut for inclusion) on the other side of the bracket, this tournament guaranteed awesome fights and surprising results. And boy, did it deliver on both fronts.<\/p>\n Though Oliveira was able to take care of business in the first round, the real-life champ lost his rematch against former Bellator champ and recent UFC convert Michael Chandler. That first fight, which took place at UFC 262 earlier this year, was a back-and-forth, Fight of the Year contender, so the change in the result isn’t that surprising in this digital rematch. However, the biggest surprise came on the other side of the bracket when Rafael Dos Anjos won a close decision against Dustin Poirier. Dos Anjos is a former champion, but many consider Poirier the best fighter at 155. Still, the division is stacked; it’s hard to argue against any results. The championship came down to Gaethje and Chandler, who\u00a0delivered arguably the best fight of any tournament I simulated. This absurdly paced matchup\u00a0didn’t last long, but it was non-stop action until Chandler landed an uppercut from hell while Gaethje tried to land one of his own. Watching it play out in EA Sports UFC 4 made me all the more excited for the real-life match-up between these two, which is targeted\u00a0for UFC 268 in November.<\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion:\u00a0<\/strong>Kamaru Usman Welterweight is the home of perhaps the most dominant men’s champion today in Kamaru Usman, so naturally, he was the favorite going in. However, the division is also one of the deeper ones in the UFC, so when you see the all-action Vicente Luque take out the streaking Leon Edwards in his first fight, topple\u00a0Usman in the semifinals,\u00a0then beat Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson in the finals, it’s difficult to be too upset. Thompson getting past Burns might be the most criticizable outcome of this tournament since we just saw how Burns handled Thompson in July, but this game seems to favor strikers over grapplers when the A.I. faces itself. Interestingly, using\u00a0my seeding methodology, the first round gave fans a long-awaited grudge match in Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal.<\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion:\u00a0<\/strong>Israel Adesanya If welterweight Kamaru Usman isn’t the most dominant men’s champion, it’s certainly middleweight Israel Adesanya. The former kickboxing champ blasted his way through the middleweight ranks and has defeated nearly every contender along the way. Everyone thinks they have the solution to the Adesanya puzzle, but no middleweight fighter has been able to execute so far.<\/p>\n After a tiny scare in the first round against Darren Till, Adesanya cruised in his second rematch\u00a0against Marvin Vettori, knocking him out in the first round, then taking on the man from whom he took the middleweight belt in the first place: Robert Whittaker. While Adesanya vs. Whittaker featured a ton of action and was fairly evenly matched, Adesanya once again finished Whittaker to confirm his coronation through this EA Sports UFC 4 tournament.<\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion: <\/strong>Jan B\u0142achowicz After Jon Jones left to go to heavyweight, the light heavyweight division became more interesting. Though Dominick Reyes felt like the uncrowned champ when he fought for the vacant title last year, Jan B\u0142achowicz emerged with the belt. Though B\u0142achowicz has been on an absolute tear, winning nine of his last ten fights, including a win over middleweight champ Israel Adesanya earlier this year, many are still waiting to see if he’s the kind of fighter who can hold the belt for an extended period of time. According to EA Sports UFC 4, he very well might be. While it was surprising to see Reyes defeat Ji\u0159\u00ed Proch\u00e1zka in a rematch of their fight from earlier this year, the rest of the bracket played out realistically, with the two fighters in the championship fight \u2013 B\u0142achowicz and Glover Teixeira \u2013\u00a0serving as the next real-life title fight in the division. If the real fight between those two is anything like EA Sports UFC 4’s prediction, we’re in for a treat when it\u00a0occurs in October.\u00a0<\/p>\n Current Real-Life Champion: <\/strong>Francis Ngannou The heavyweight division is in an odd place, with recently crowned champion Francis Ngannou having his throne challenged by new interim champ Cyril Gane. Meanwhile, one of the greatest fighters of all time lurks in\u00a0Jon Jones, and the longest-reigning heavyweight champ in UFC history, Stipe Miocic, can never be counted out. After watching all of these fights play out across the different divisions, heavyweight’s results were the ones that shocked me the most. Seeing Derrick Lewis knock out Jones in the first round was a big surprise, but maybe not as big of an upset as Jairzinho Rozenstruik knocking out Ngannou in a rematch of a fight that very much went a different way in real life. The right side of the bracket went about as most people would predict. However, the championship fight between Lewis and Gane was perhaps the biggest upset of the entire tournament, as we just saw how dominant Gane was when he fought Lewis two weeks ago. I have a feeling Lewis would vastly prefer this result to the one he actually got this month.<\/p>\n For more on EA Sports UFC 4, check out our review here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-2.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nStrawweight<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction:\u00a0<\/strong>Rose Namajunas
\nFight of the Tournament:\u00a0<\/strong>Namajunas vs. Weili<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-3.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nFlyweight (W)<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction:\u00a0<\/strong>Katlyn Chookagian
\nFight of the Tournament:\u00a0<\/strong>Andrade vs. Calderwood<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021.gif\")
<\/article>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-4.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nBantamweight (W)<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction:\u00a0<\/strong>Germaine de Randamie
\nFight of the Tournament:\u00a0<\/strong>De Randamie vs. Holm<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-5.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nFlyweight (M)<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction:\u00a0<\/strong>Cody Garbrandt
\nFight of the Tournament:\u00a0<\/strong>Askarov vs. Benavidez<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-1.gif\")
<\/article>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-6.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nBantamweight (M)<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction:\u00a0<\/strong>Petr Yan
\nFight of the Tournament:\u00a0<\/strong>Sandhagen vs. Font<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-7.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nFeatherweight (M)<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction:\u00a0<\/strong>Alexander Volkanovski
\nFight of the Tournament:\u00a0<\/strong>Rodr\u00edguez vs. Jung<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-8.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nLightweight<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction: <\/strong>Michael Chandler
\nFight of the Tournament:\u00a0<\/strong>Gaethje vs. Chandler<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-2.gif\")
<\/article>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-9.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nWelterweight<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction:\u00a0<\/strong>Vicente Luque
\nFight of the Tournament:\u00a0<\/strong>Edwards vs. Luque<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-10.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nMiddleweight<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction: <\/strong>Israel Adesanya
\nFight of the Tournament: <\/strong>Adesanya vs. Till<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-3.gif\")
<\/article>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-11.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nLight Heavyweight<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction:\u00a0<\/strong>Jan B\u0142achowicz
\nFight of the Tournament: <\/strong>B\u0142achowicz vs. Teixeira<\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/using-ea-sports-ufc-4-to-predict-how-ufc-tournaments-would-play-out-in-2021-12.jpg\")
<\/a> <\/article>\nHeavyweight<\/h2>\n
\nEA Sports UFC 4 Prediction: <\/strong>Derrick Lewis
\nFight of the Tournament: <\/strong>Ngannou vs. Rozenstruik<\/p>\n
\n