{"id":1200028,"date":"2026-02-19T00:12:51","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T00:12:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.polygon.com\/?p=598877"},"modified":"2026-02-19T00:12:51","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T00:12:51","slug":"nintendo-says-its-low-balled-switch-2-forecast-is-about-price-not-tariffs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arcader.org\/news\/nintendo-says-its-low-balled-switch-2-forecast-is-about-price-not-tariffs\/","title":{"rendered":"Nintendo says its low-balled Switch 2 forecast is about price, not tariffs"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure> <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" data-caption=\"\" data-portal-copyright=\"\" data-has-syndication-rights=\"1\" src=\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/nintendo-says-its-low-balled-switch-2-forecast-is-about-price-not-tariffs.png\" \/><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">Last week, Nintendo predicted it would sell 15 million <a href=\"https:\/\/www.polygon.com\/nintendo\/23899504\/nintendo-switch-2-release-date-power-name-games\">Switch 2<\/a> consoles in its current financial year. This would actually be a fantastic result \u2014 equalling Switch, and just about any console you care to mention \u2014 but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.polygon.com\/nintendo-switch-2\/598100\/nintendo-switch-2-sales-forecast\">analysts called the figure \u201cconservative\u201d and \u201con the low side.\u201d<\/a> That\u2019s just how high the expectations for Switch 2 sales are.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">The consensus was that Nintendo\u2019s conservative estimate was due to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.polygon.com\/nintendo-switch-2\/554889\/price-tariffs-analyst-forecast\">uncertainty around President Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs<\/a>, but in some <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nintendo.co.jp\/ir\/pdf\/2025\/250509e.pdf\">unusually direct comments<\/a> during an investor Q&amp;A, Nintendo president Shuntaro Furukawa denied this was the case. Instead, he said it was the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.polygon.com\/nintendo-switch-2\/553517\/price-interview-tariffs\">system\u2019s high price<\/a> that has made Nintendo cautious in its outlook.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">\u201cNintendo Switch 2 is priced relatively high compared to Nintendo Switch, so we recognize that there are corresponding challenges to early adoption,\u201d Furukawa said. \u201cWe are taking steps like bundling software with the hardware to accelerate adoption in the first fiscal year, aiming to get off to the same start we did with Nintendo Switch.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">Furukawa cautioned that investors shouldn\u2019t get carried away over the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.polygon.com\/nintendo-switch-2\/563352\/nintendo-switch-2-pre-order-japan-warning\">extreme<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.polygon.com\/nintendo-switch-2\/564231\/preorder-chaos-success-failure\">demand<\/a> for Switch 2 pre-orders. Due to the system\u2019s high price, he said that \u201ceven if there is momentum around the launch, we know it will not be easy to keep that momentum going over the long term through the holiday season and beyond.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">Furukawa said that its production capacity for Switch 2 was \u201cnot a factor\u201d in settings its forecast, and neither was the unstable economic situation. \u201cThe tariff situation in the U.S. or a possibility of a recession did not affect<br \/>our sales volume forecast either,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">He went on to give Nintendo\u2019s fullest statement yet in response to U.S. tariffs, saying that it was working on the assumption that the current tariff rates would persist for the rest of the financial year, which would result in \u201ca negative impact of several tens of billions of yen at the profit level.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">\u201cOur basic policy is that for any country or region, if tariffs are imposed, we recognize them as a part of the cost and incorporate them into the price,\u201d he said. \u201cHowever, this year marks our first new dedicated video game system launch in eight years, so given our unique situation, our priority is to maintain the momentum of our platforms, which is extremely important for our dedicated video game platform business, and to rapidly expand the install base of our new hardware. Consequently, if the assumptions on tariffs change, we will consider what kind of price adjustments would be appropriate, taking into account various factors such as the market conditions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">To translate this from CEO-speak: Nintendo would usually slap the cost of tariffs onto the price of its hardware, but didn\u2019t do so in this case because it wants to sell as many Switch 2s as possible. It\u2019s not ruling out making pricing changes as the situation evolves (but it probably won\u2019t).<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">The whole Q&amp;A is worth a read, just for the bizarre spectacle of a business leader patiently explaining and re-explaining to his insatiable investors why he thinks his new product is <em>only<\/em> going to be one of the fastest-selling consoles of all time, which is apparently a terrible disappointment to them. Capitalism! <\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-none\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.polygon.com\/nintendo-switch-2\/598877\/nintendo-switch-2-forecast-price-not-tariffs\">Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, Nintendo predicted it would sell 15 million Switch 2 consoles in its current financial year. This would actually be a fantastic result \u2014 equalling Switch, and just about any console you care to mention \u2014 but analysts called the figure \u201cconservative\u201d and \u201con the low side.\u201d That\u2019s just how high the expectations for Switch 2 sales are. The consensus was that Nintendo\u2019s conservative estimate was due to uncertainty around President Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs, but in some unusually direct comments during an investor Q&amp;A, Nintendo president Shuntaro Furukawa denied this was the case. Instead, he said it was the system\u2019s high price that has made Nintendo cautious in its outlook. \u201cNintendo Switch 2 is priced relatively high compared to Nintendo Switch, so we recognize&hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"excerpt-more\"><a class=\"blog-excerpt button\" href=\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/news\/nintendo-says-its-low-balled-switch-2-forecast-is-about-price-not-tariffs\/\">Read More&#8230;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1200029,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1200028","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-polygon"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Nintendo says its low-balled Switch 2 forecast is about price, not tariffs | Arcader News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Last week, Nintendo predicted it would sell 15 million Switch 2 consoles in its current financial year. This would actually be a fantastic result \u2014\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/news\/nintendo-says-its-low-balled-switch-2-forecast-is-about-price-not-tariffs\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nintendo says its low-balled Switch 2 forecast is about price, not tariffs | Arcader News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Last week, Nintendo predicted it would sell 15 million Switch 2 consoles in its current financial year. 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