{"id":1195283,"date":"2026-02-18T01:55:26","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T01:55:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.polygon.com\/?p=598100"},"modified":"2026-02-18T01:55:26","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T01:55:26","slug":"nintendo-low-balls-its-switch-2-sales-estimates-but-theyre-still-huge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arcader.org\/news\/nintendo-low-balls-its-switch-2-sales-estimates-but-theyre-still-huge\/","title":{"rendered":"Nintendo low-balls its Switch 2 sales estimates, but they\u2019re still huge"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Nintendo is predicting that it will sell 15 million Switch 2 consoles in its current financial year \u2014 a figure that most analysts agree is too low, but that would still put it among the fastest-selling game consoles of all time.<\/p>\n

Nintendo made the forecast in a report to investors<\/a> covering its previous financial year, ending in March 2025. It also predicted sales of 45 million Switch 2 games, and 4.5 million original Switches \u2014 which would bring the older console within spitting distance of the all-time record held by PlayStation 2<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Analysts, including Niko Partners\u2019 Daniel Ahmad<\/a>, said Nintendo\u2019s forecast was \u201cconservative,\u201d likely due to uncertainty around U.S. trade tariffs<\/a>. \u201cNintendo\u2019s number is on the low side. With good reason,\u201d Dr. Serkan Toto of Kantan Games told VGC<\/a>. \u201cGod knows how the tariff situation will evolve even over the next few days, so how is a company supposed to predict sales for an entire year?\u201d<\/p>\n

Before the Switch 2\u2019s $449.99 price was announced, and before President Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs came into effect, analysts were predicting sales of 20 million<\/a> in the console\u2019s first fiscal year. These estimates were buoyed by reports that Nintendo would have an unprecedented inventory<\/a> of 6 to 8 million consoles available on day one, which would almost certainly lead to a record-breaking launch. Since then, it\u2019s become apparent that Nintendo\u2019s efforts to provide an adequate supply of Switch 2s for launch have fallen short, with the company admitting <\/a>it won\u2019t be able to meet what it calls an \u201castonishing\u201d level of demand for the console.<\/p>\n

Even if Nintendo does sell \u201conly\u201d 15 million Switch 2s in its first 10 months \u2014 the months between its June 5 launch and the end of its fiscal year in March 2026 \u2014 this would put it among the most successful console launches ever. The original Switch sold 14.86 million units in a similar period, between its March 3, 2017 launch and the end of the calendar year. Sony reported sales of 13.4 million PlayStation 5s by the end of September 2021, a little over 10 months after it went on sale (and in the face of crippling stock shortages).<\/p>\n

It looks like the Switch 2 is going to be a massive hit \u2014 tariffs or no tariffs.<\/p>\n

Source<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nintendo is predicting that it will sell 15 million Switch 2 consoles in its current financial year \u2014 a figure that most analysts agree is too low, but that would still put it among the fastest-selling game consoles of all time. Nintendo made the forecast in a report to investors covering its previous financial year, ending in March 2025. It also predicted sales of 45 million Switch 2 games, and 4.5 million original Switches \u2014 which would bring the older console within spitting distance of the all-time record held by PlayStation 2. Analysts, including Niko Partners\u2019 Daniel Ahmad, said Nintendo\u2019s forecast was \u201cconservative,\u201d likely due to uncertainty around U.S. trade tariffs. \u201cNintendo\u2019s number is on the low side. With good reason,\u201d Dr. Serkan Toto of…<\/p>\n

Read More…<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1195284,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1195283","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-polygon"],"yoast_head":"\nNintendo low-balls its Switch 2 sales estimates, but they\u2019re still huge | Arcader News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nintendo is predicting that it will sell 15 million Switch 2 consoles in its current financial year \u2014 a figure that most analysts agree is too low, but\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/arcader.org\/news\/nintendo-low-balls-its-switch-2-sales-estimates-but-theyre-still-huge\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta 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